How betting odds work: what they are and how to use them

Multiplying these probabilities by 100% gives the percentage. When probability is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, the relationships between probability p and odds are as follows. When Moneyline odds are quoted as a positive number +X, it means that a wager pays X to 100. However in many situations, the possible loss (“stake” or “wager”) is paid up front and, if the gambler wins, the net win plus the stake is returned. From local leagues to international tournaments, our website shows the top price for every outcome before you bet. OddsPortal is a free odds comparison site where you can compare betting odds from leading bookmakers on every match.

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Instead of betting on a single game, you’re predicting outcomes like who will win the NBA championship, MVP award, or a division title. Bettors predict whether the total points scored will be above or below a set number. For example, if a team is -5.5, they need to win by 6 or more points to win the bet. Instead of just picking a winner, you’re betting on whether a team can “cover the spread,” meaning they either win by a certain margin or avoid losing by too much. If you see +250, that team is the underdog; a $100 bet would return $250 if they win.

In probability theory and statistics, odds and similar ratios may be more natural or more convenient than probabilities. Odds can also be expressed as a number, by dividing the terms in the ratio—in this case it is unique (different fractions can represent the same rational number). For example, “odds of a weekend are 2 to 5”, while “chances of a weekend are 2 in 7”. Implied by this definition is the fact that the probability of an event is given by the ratio of favourable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes. If k is any positive number then X to Y is the same as kX to kY, and similarly if “to” is replaced with “in” or “for”.

Because of the many factors involved, it is impossible to calculate exact probability in sports betting. In betting terms, probability is odds expressed as a percentage. Moneyline odds use $100 as the evens line, with either positive or negative outcomes. If you’d like a bit more guidance, we have a full guide on how fractional odds work in betting. You may also see odds expressed with the lowest number first e.g. 1/2 or 2/7.

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A “moneyline” wager refers to odds on the straight-up outcome of a game with no consideration to a point spread. For example, 6/5 fractional odds (also described as “1.2” or “6 to 5”) are the same as 11/5 decimal odds (also described as 2.2 or “11 for 5). A variation of fractional odds is known as Hong Kong odds.

He is an NCTJ-qualified sports journalist who has accumulated over 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Make your first deposit of £10+, then place a £10 single bet from main balance at odds of EVS+ (2.00+) on any sports market (excluding Virtuals). As a result, the term has more historical than literal accuracy in today’s global betting market. Major sportsbooks now operate nationwide, often adjusting their lines independently or using odds from other sources, not just Las Vegas. For decades, Vegas was seen as the gold standard for odds-setting, with casinos along the Strip acting as trendsetters for the broader betting market.